This quote was taken from the latest BS from our illustrious government experts:
"....Sir Patrick Vallance and Chris Whitty, the government’s top scientific and medical advisers, are understood to be arguing hard with ministers for tighter restrictions across England ahead of Christmas.
The pair are calling for tougher measures armed with what has been described as new modelling from experts on Sage, the government’s epidemics advisory group, showing that deaths this winter could exceed those in the spring....".
For modelling, read guesswork
No really! there is going to be more deaths in winter than in spring...... That must have happened every year for the last 2000 years and it's took government experts to work that out. You can see where they earn their wages can't you.