Hi everyone,
Recently heard someone state the above and thought this was very powerful - a quick search online and I could not find this said anywhere. However, I downloaded monthly covid death data from the ONS (I'm sure everyone would agree this is a very mainstream source) and did some quick calculations and this certainly appears to be the case. I work in statistical modelling, but this is certainly doable by anyone with this information, which is readily downloadable. Happy to provide more information if anyone is interested.
Cheers,
Wren
I've been looking at ONS data too. While there was a huge spike in deaths for a short period (more than double the 5 year average (weeks of 17th and 24th of April). The number of deaths now and for the past 6 weeks has been below the 5 year average.
I've also been analysing the data from the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control . From taking a 7 day rolling average, peak death rate came before peak infections and the current avaerage is below 60 deaths per day.